Predictions for Callum Smith vs Canelo Alvarez who wins and why how what time fight date tv channel dazn in the uk live stream details links betting odds oddschecker liam mundo analysis tale of the tape where venue location

Predictions for Callum Smith vs Canelo Alvarez

Published On Wednesday, November 18, 2020By Tim Rickson

Callum Smith vs Canelo Alvarez - Who wins?

Mexican P4P superstar Canelo Alvarez (53-1-2, 36KOs) will challenge unbeaten Brit Callum Smith (27-0, 19KOs) for his WBA and Ring Magazine World Super-Middleweight titles on Saturday December 19, live on DAZN.

Alvarez is back in action for the first time since knocking out Sergey Kovalev in November 2019 in Las Vegas, ripping the WBO World Light-Heavyweight title from the Russian to become a four-weight World ruler.

Liverpool's 'Mundo' had been calling for this fight to cement his position as top dog at 168lbs after defending the titles twice, stopping Hassan N’Dam in New York in June 2019 and then narrowly outpointing John Ryder in his hometown five months later. Smith will also be out for family revenge when he steps through the ropes, with Canelo having beaten his brother Liam in Texas in September 2016.

So will it be repeat or revenge for the Smith brothers? BBN asked their panel of pundits for their views:


Steve Wood
Manager and Promoter

"Not many fights that Callum Smith would not go in as favourite but this is one of them.

He is a giant for 12 stone and doing the weight must be hard, to take the fight on four weeks’ notice  even though he's been in the gym hoping it might happen will be a big difference and is why I cannot even give him a puncher's chance.

He had to take the fight as it will be massive money and maybe not come around ever again, so good luck to him and I will be cheering him on but Canelo is a special fighter, clever, hurtful and  also shown a great chin  - unfortunately I cannot see anything but a stoppage around the midway stage of the contest for Canelo."


Tino Bellott
Three-time national amateur champion

"So glad that this fight has been made, because boxing needed some more big fights to happen this year.

For me, Canelo is P4P the best in the world, so it won’t be an easy night for Callum Smith. I reckon he will have periods of success throughout the fight, but I can only see Canelo winning this. I can see a stoppage between rounds 8 and 10 for Canelo."


Anish Parekh
BBN Writer

"I like the match up.

Smith will be coming to win and has been waiting for a long time for a big fight. It is actually difficult to see how talented he is because despite being the Ring champion at 168lbs, he hasn't really been tested by any world class fighters (Groves was banged up and past his best going into their WBSS final).

I think the size and height of Smith will be a problem from Canelo to decipher early on. However, he isn't the quickest and if Smith attempts to throw bombs, I can only envision that Canelo will be using his fluid upper-body movement to slip punches and return with spiteful combinations.

Canelo has been out of the ring for much longer than he would have liked but that will only serve to motivate him. He will take over the bout from the middle stages, and counter-punches his way to a tough but clear unanimous victory."


Matt Marsh
Former British champion

"Callum Smith is a great boxer, very big at the weight, and I hope he does well in this fight, but I think it could be a late stoppage for Canelo."


Ben Davies
Global Boxing News Editor

"I think Canelo wins the fight, his movement and skillset will be simply too advanced for Callum Smith.

Smith was fortunate to take the win against John Ryder and faces another big leap up in level here.

Therefore I would have to say the P4P number one will get the stoppage in his ring return."


Kieran Gething
Welsh Area super-lightweight champion

"I think Cantelo probably has the skills to get the job done, however Smith can be really vicious.

I do think Canelo will have a lot of confidence especially after beating Smith’s brother and Mr. Gallagher previously.

It’ll be a great fight either way, I’m sitting firmly on the fence, but hoping Smith gets a job done."


Carl Greaves
Manager and Promoter

"I'm delighted Callum has got his shot, it is well deserved, and out of all the other British fighters that have challenged Canelo, I do feel Smith has more of a chance, however Callum did struggle against John Ryder in his last fight and Canelo is a level or two above him so unless Smith can raise his game and Canelo has a bad night, then I can't see anything other than a Canelo win, but really do hope I'm wrong."


Tim Rickson
BBN Editor

"Before the John Ryder fight, I would have been excited for a Callum Smith win here, but I can see now that he isn't quite as formidable as I once thought he was.

He's huge for the weight and you'd naturally question if it's difficult for a man of his size to make the 168lbs limit everytime, especially as he's getting older, but he seems to always be in incredible shape. I hope he does make the weight ok with no weakening.

It will not be a one-sided fight and it could be a real battle of wills and skills early on, but I expect Canelo to gradually pull away with his superior skillset, experience, knowledge and quality, and I expect a late stoppage or points win to the Mexican."


Ryan Clark
Co-Founder of

"It’d be nice for Callum to get revenge for his brother, and whilst I think Callum would have the best chance out of the Smiths, I just cant see anything other than a Canelo victory here. I’d be partly positive and say a points win rather than stoppage although that’s the best I would hope for."


Bolu Kareem
Super-middleweight Debutant

"I have to go with Callum Smith, I always back the Brit, plus he is tall, rangey and not the softest puncher in the world either."


Dee The Hat
Boxing trainer

"I’m not listening to my head, I’m going with my heart! Callum Smith is the best super middleweight in the world. He’s won the WSSB, and holds the Ring belt. He’s massive for the weight, in his prime, and he has an experienced top class proven trainer in his corner.

Joe Gallagher is one of the best trainers in the world, has been for years, and Callum is a class act and a scouser so they gonna do it. He’s gonna shock the world and knock out Canelo!"


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